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14 of 14 matches with xG: 40 goals from 28.7 xG (1.39 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Instituto Cordoba | 0.96–1.07 | 32% · 31% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Instituto Cordoba |
| Argentinos Juniors 3–2 Rosario Central | 1.58–0.71 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Argentinos Juniors |
| Newell's Old Boys 2–0 Platense | 1.12–0.38 | 55% · 33% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Newell's Old Boys |
| Huracan 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia | 1.58–0.58 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Huracan |
| Godoy Cruz 0–1 Barracas Central | 2.11–0.68 | 71% · 19% · 11% | Won against the xG: Barracas Central |
| Independiente 1–3 Talleres Cordoba | 0.30–1.27 | 9% · 30% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Talleres Cordoba |
| River Plate 3–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1.92–0.17 | 81% · 17% · 3% | Win in line with xG for River Plate |
| Tigre 0–1 Estudiantes de La Plata | 1.16–0.48 | 53% · 32% · 15% | Won against the xG: Estudiantes de La Plata |
| Deportivo Riestra 1–0 San Lorenzo | 0.35–0.49 | 20% · 51% · 30% | Close call, Deportivo Riestra won |
| Belgrano Cordoba 4–4 Racing Club | 1.25–1.73 | 28% · 24% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Lanus 0–2 Independiente Rivadavia | 1.04–0.71 | 43% · 33% · 25% | Won against the xG: Independiente Rivadavia |
| Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Boca Juniors | 1.41–0.66 | 55% · 27% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Tucuman |
| Gimnasia La Plata 3–1 Velez Sarsfield | 2.05–1.31 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Gimnasia La Plata |
| Union Santa Fe 1–0 Banfield | 1.38–0.23 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Union Santa Fe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.