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14 of 14 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Platense 0–0 Barracas Central | 1.29–0.21 | 65% · 29% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Platense had 65% |
| Newell's Old Boys 0–1 Racing Club | 1.31–1.12 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Close call, Racing Club won |
| Lanus 1–1 Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1.16–1.02 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Independiente 1–0 Rosario Central | 0.92–0.23 | 52% · 39% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Independiente |
| Gimnasia La Plata 1–1 River Plate | 1.12–0.78 | 43% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Talleres Cordoba 2–1 Independiente Rivadavia | 1.05–0.12 | 61% · 35% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Talleres Cordoba |
| Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto Cordoba | 1.14–0.55 | 50% · 32% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Velez Sarsfield |
| Boca Juniors 3–2 San Lorenzo | 1.00–1.97 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Won against the xG: Boca Juniors |
| Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Tigre | 0.80–1.09 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Tucuman 2–0 Estudiantes de La Plata | 1.33–0.49 | 58% · 29% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Tucuman |
| Huracan 1–0 Belgrano Cordoba | 0.81–0.75 | 34% · 36% · 30% | Close call, Huracan won |
| Godoy Cruz 4–1 Deportivo Riestra | 1.62–1.19 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Godoy Cruz |
| Union Santa Fe 3–0 Argentinos Juniors | 1.76–0.81 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Union Santa Fe |
| Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Banfield | 1.19–0.42 | 56% · 31% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Defensa Y Justicia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.