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14 of 14 matches with xG: 27 goals from 31.1 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata 0–0 Deportivo Riestra | 0.72–0.50 | 36% · 41% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Santa Fe 3–1 Godoy Cruz | 1.31–0.36 | 61% · 29% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Union Santa Fe |
| Boca Juniors 0–1 River Plate | 0.35–0.74 | 16% · 43% · 41% | Close call, River Plate won |
| Newell's Old Boys 1–0 Tigre | 1.21–1.29 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Close call, Newell's Old Boys won |
| Instituto Cordoba 0–1 Barracas Central | 0.89–0.29 | 49% · 39% · 12% | Won against the xG: Barracas Central |
| Defensa Y Justicia 0–0 San Lorenzo | 0.82–1.00 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Huracan 3–0 Lanus | 2.38–0.53 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Huracan |
| Independiente 0–0 Argentinos Juniors | 0.69–0.26 | 42% · 46% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Talleres Cordoba 2–0 Racing Club | 0.90–0.91 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Close call, Talleres Cordoba won |
| Atletico Tucuman 2–4 Belgrano Cordoba | 1.66–1.75 | 37% · 23% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Belgrano Cordoba |
| Platense 1–0 Rosario Central | 1.57–0.90 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Platense |
| Sarmiento Junin 1–3 Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2.03–2.62 | 30% · 18% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Central Cordoba de Santiago |
| Velez Sarsfield 2–0 Estudiantes de La Plata | 2.32–0.57 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Velez Sarsfield |
| Banfield 2–0 Independiente Rivadavia | 1.62–0.89 | 55% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Banfield |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.