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14 of 14 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.6 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo 1–2 Racing Club | 0.81–0.93 | 30% · 33% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Racing Club |
| Banfield 0–1 Tigre | 0.78–1.05 | 27% · 32% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Tigre |
| Platense 1–0 Godoy Cruz | 1.38–0.23 | 67% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Platense |
| Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Deportivo Riestra | 1.20–1.07 | 39% · 29% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atletico Tucuman 4–2 Huracan | 1.30–0.42 | 59% · 29% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Tucuman |
| Instituto Cordoba 1–0 Argentinos Juniors | 0.88–0.93 | 32% · 33% · 35% | Close call, Instituto Cordoba won |
| Newell's Old Boys 2–3 Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0.47–1.28 | 14% · 30% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Central Cordoba de Santiago |
| Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Lanus | 0.96–0.22 | 54% · 38% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Velez Sarsfield had 54% |
| Estudiantes de La Plata 1–1 Rosario Central | 0.85–0.59 | 39% · 37% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Boca Juniors 1–0 Union Santa Fe | 1.27–0.32 | 61% · 30% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Boca Juniors |
| Barracas Central 1–1 Belgrano Cordoba | 1.29–0.96 | 44% · 28% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Independiente 1–0 Gimnasia La Plata | 1.29–0.10 | 69% · 28% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Independiente |
| Talleres Cordoba 2–0 Sarmiento Junin | 2.65–0.80 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Talleres Cordoba |
| Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 River Plate | 1.44–2.09 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Won against the xG: Independiente Rivadavia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.