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14 of 14 matches with xG: 23 goals from 25.1 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba | 0.73–0.87 | 28% · 35% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Belgrano Cordoba |
| Estudiantes de La Plata 1–2 River Plate | 2.43–0.99 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Won against the xG: River Plate |
| Banfield 0–1 Lanus | 0.33–1.20 | 10% · 31% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Lanus |
| Rosario Central 0–2 Racing Club | 0.65–0.79 | 27% · 38% · 35% | Close call, Racing Club won |
| Defensa Y Justicia 2–1 Godoy Cruz | 0.45–1.19 | 14% · 31% · 55% | Won against the xG: Defensa Y Justicia |
| Instituto Cordoba 2–1 Deportivo Riestra | 1.51–0.35 | 67% · 25% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Instituto Cordoba |
| Independiente 2–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago | 1.76–0.26 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Independiente |
| Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Sarmiento Junin | 2.02–0.18 | 82% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Velez Sarsfield |
| Boca Juniors 1–0 Gimnasia La Plata | 1.93–0.12 | 82% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Boca Juniors |
| Barracas Central 0–0 Tigre | 0.42–0.74 | 19% · 42% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Platense 1–0 Union Santa Fe | 1.10–0.22 | 59% · 34% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Platense |
| Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Huracan | 1.44–0.20 | 70% · 25% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Talleres Cordoba |
| Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Argentinos Juniors | 1.23–0.82 | 46% · 30% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Rivadavia |
| Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Newell's Old Boys | 0.79–0.36 | 43% · 41% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.