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13 of 14 matches with xG: 25 goals from 30.0 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra 0–2 Rosario Central | 2.35–1.55 | 56% · 20% · 25% | Won against the xG: Rosario Central |
| Tigre 0–4 Racing Club | 0.68–3.02 | 5% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Racing Club |
| Belgrano Cordoba 2–1 Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2.74–1.16 | 71% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Belgrano Cordoba |
| Lanus 2–1 Estudiantes de La Plata | 0.92–1.33 | 26% · 28% · 46% | Won against the xG: Lanus |
| Argentinos Juniors 1–0 River Plate | 0.55–0.25 | 35% · 51% · 14% | Close call, Argentinos Juniors won |
| Newell's Old Boys 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia | 0.72–0.34 | 41% · 44% · 16% | Close call, Newell's Old Boys won |
| Boca Juniors 0–0 Talleres Cordoba | 0.49–1.18 | 15% · 31% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Talleres Cordoba had 53% |
| Huracan 1–0 Instituto Cordoba | 1.06–0.80 | 41% · 32% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Huracan |
| Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Independiente Rivadavia | 0.51–0.35 | 31% · 50% · 19% | Close call, Independiente Rivadavia won |
| Gimnasia La Plata 3–0 Banfield | 2.27–0.39 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Gimnasia La Plata |
| Independiente 1–1 Velez Sarsfield | 0.46–1.18 | 14% · 31% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Velez Sarsfield had 54% |
| Union Santa Fe 2–0 Barracas Central | 2.74–0.87 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Union Santa Fe |
| Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Platense | 1.09–0.96 | 38% · 30% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.