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6 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 16.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar 0–2 Auckland | 0.81–1.70 | 18% · 24% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Auckland |
| Melbourne Victory 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.27–1.23 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Close call, Western Sydney Wanderers won |
| Macarthur 0–3 Sydney | 1.07–2.14 | 18% · 20% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sydney |
| Perth Glory 3–0 Central Coast Mariners | 2.64–0.93 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Perth Glory |
| Wellington Phoenix 2–2 Adelaide United | 2.52–0.35 | 85% · 12% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Wellington Phoenix had 85% |
| Melbourne City 0–1 Newcastle Jets | 1.02–1.16 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle Jets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.