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5 of 6 matches with xG: 23 goals from 17.6 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Jets 4–1 Wellington Phoenix | 2.33–4.19 | 17% · 12% · 70% | Won against the xG: Newcastle Jets |
| Brisbane Roar 2–3 Adelaide United | 1.71–0.71 | 61% · 23% · 15% | Won against the xG: Adelaide United |
| Macarthur 6–2 Melbourne City | 2.76–0.78 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Macarthur |
| Western Sydney Wanderers 1–0 Perth Glory | 2.10–0.54 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Western Sydney Wanderers |
| Melbourne Victory 4–0 Sydney | 1.83–0.63 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Melbourne Victory |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.