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A-League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 16

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Matches

Matchday 16 in xG

5 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 14.5 xG (1.24 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Wellington Phoenix 2–3 Melbourne Victory0.86–0.7436% · 35% · 29%Close call, Melbourne Victory won
Macarthur 2–2 Perth Glory2.04–0.8565% · 20% · 15%Draw against the xG: Macarthur had 65%
Auckland 1–0 Sydney3.56–2.6257% · 15% · 28%Win in line with xG for Auckland
Brisbane Roar 1–2 Central Coast Mariners0.66–0.8027% · 37% · 36%Close call, Central Coast Mariners won
Adelaide United 2–3 Newcastle Jets0.93–1.4724% · 26% · 50%Win in line with xG for Newcastle Jets

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 15 · Matchday 17

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