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4 of 6 matches with xG: 14 goals from 8.6 xG (1.63 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United 4–0 Perth Glory | 1.80–0.60 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Adelaide United |
| Wellington Phoenix 0–5 Auckland | 0.86–1.11 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Auckland |
| Sydney 1–0 Brisbane Roar | 1.07–0.44 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sydney |
| Melbourne City 1–3 Melbourne Victory | 1.41–1.31 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Close call, Melbourne Victory won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.