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6 of 6 matches with xG: 13 goals from 16.6 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners 1–2 Auckland | 0.45–1.24 | 13% · 30% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Auckland |
| Western Sydney Wanderers 0–0 Brisbane Roar | 1.41–0.42 | 62% · 27% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Western Sydney Wanderers had 62% |
| Melbourne Victory 2–1 Adelaide United | 2.76–0.99 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Melbourne Victory |
| Perth Glory 0–1 Sydney | 0.83–1.44 | 22% · 27% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Sydney |
| Wellington Phoenix 1–3 Newcastle Jets | 1.39–2.99 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle Jets |
| Melbourne City 1–1 Macarthur | 1.00–1.68 | 22% · 24% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Macarthur had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.