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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.2 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC BW Linz 0–2 Red Bull Salzburg | 1.95–1.88 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Close call, Red Bull Salzburg won |
| Rapid Vienna 1–2 Ried | 1.59–2.58 | 23% · 18% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Ried |
| TSV Hartberg 2–2 Lask Linz | 1.68–3.16 | 18% · 15% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Lask Linz had 67% |
| WSG Wattens 0–3 SCR Altach | 1.03–2.46 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for SCR Altach |
| Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Austria Vienna | 1.74–1.15 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Wolfsberger AC |
| Sturm Graz 2–1 Grazer AK | 1.52–1.46 | 39% · 24% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Sturm Graz |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.