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6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 17.4 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC BW Linz 0–1 TSV Hartberg | 0.25–1.59 | 5% · 23% · 72% | Win in line with xG for TSV Hartberg |
| SCR Altach 1–0 Ried | 1.27–0.33 | 61% · 30% · 10% | Win in line with xG for SCR Altach |
| Red Bull Salzburg 5–0 Grazer AK | 3.18–0.46 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Red Bull Salzburg |
| Austria Vienna 0–2 Wolfsberger AC | 0.88–1.10 | 29% · 31% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Wolfsberger AC |
| WSG Wattens 3–1 Lask Linz | 2.96–0.80 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for WSG Wattens |
| Sturm Graz 1–2 Rapid Vienna | 2.31–2.30 | 41% · 19% · 40% | Close call, Rapid Vienna won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.