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6 of 6 matches with xG: 20 goals from 19.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach 2–1 Austria Vienna | 0.92–1.09 | 30% · 31% · 39% | Close call, SCR Altach won |
| TSV Hartberg 1–0 Wolfsberger AC | 1.77–0.52 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for TSV Hartberg |
| WSG Wattens 1–1 Grazer AK | 0.83–2.29 | 12% · 18% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Grazer AK had 70% |
| Rapid Vienna 5–1 Austria Lustenau | 4.19–1.18 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Rapid Vienna |
| Sturm Graz 2–2 Ried | 1.98–1.39 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Sturm Graz had 51% |
| Lask Linz 1–3 Red Bull Salzburg | 0.95–2.46 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Red Bull Salzburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.