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6 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 19.0 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seraing United 1–2 Beerschot VA | 0.71–2.11 | 11% · 19% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Beerschot VA |
| Olympic Charleroi 1–4 KAA Gent II | 1.03–1.67 | 23% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for KAA Gent II |
| RSC Anderlecht II 1–3 Kortrijk | 1.26–2.07 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Patro Eisden 2–1 Lokeren-Temse | 2.71–0.64 | 81% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Patro Eisden |
| RWDM 3–3 Lommel United | 1.74–1.49 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Club Brugge II 1–1 Francs Borains | 0.92–2.69 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Draw against the xG: Francs Borains had 75% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.