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8 of 8 matches with xG: 34 goals from 26.8 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAA Gent II 3–1 Seraing United | 1.32–3.49 | 10% · 12% · 78% | Won against the xG: KAA Gent II |
| Lommel United 4–3 K. Lierse S.K. | 1.38–2.32 | 22% · 19% · 58% | Won against the xG: Lommel United |
| Francs Borains 1–0 Club Brugge II | 0.52–0.62 | 25% · 43% · 32% | Close call, Francs Borains won |
| SK Beveren 4–2 Beerschot VA | 2.85–1.28 | 70% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
| Kortrijk 5–2 RSC Anderlecht II | 3.58–0.54 | 91% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Lokeren-Temse 1–1 Patro Eisden | 1.37–2.50 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Patro Eisden had 62% |
| RWDM 0–3 Liège | 0.71–1.27 | 21% · 29% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Liège |
| AS Eupen 2–2 Olympic Charleroi | 1.57–1.49 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.