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7 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 16.0 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA 1–0 KRC Genk II | 1.04–0.34 | 53% · 35% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Beerschot VA |
| AS Eupen 4–0 KAA Gent II | 1.11–0.19 | 60% · 33% · 6% | Win in line with xG for AS Eupen |
| K. Lierse S.K. 2–1 Club Brugge II | 1.94–0.73 | 66% · 21% · 13% | Win in line with xG for K. Lierse S.K. |
| RSC Anderlecht II 0–0 Patro Eisden | 0.72–0.09 | 48% · 47% · 4% | Draw in line with xG |
| Olympic Charleroi 0–2 RWDM | 0.52–1.39 | 14% · 28% · 59% | Win in line with xG for RWDM |
| Lommel United 1–1 Kortrijk | 2.41–1.11 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Lommel United had 66% |
| Lokeren-Temse 1–2 SK Beveren | 1.61–2.80 | 20% · 17% · 63% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.