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6 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 14.1 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSC Anderlecht II 0–5 SK Beveren | 0.70–2.24 | 10% · 17% · 72% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
| Lommel United 3–2 RWDM | 2.04–0.33 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Lommel United |
| Club Brugge II 0–1 AS Eupen | 0.85–1.27 | 25% · 29% · 46% | Win in line with xG for AS Eupen |
| K. Lierse S.K. 0–2 Francs Borains | 0.57–0.65 | 27% · 42% · 32% | Close call, Francs Borains won |
| Seraing United 2–0 Patro Eisden | 0.76–1.31 | 22% · 29% · 50% | Won against the xG: Seraing United |
| Liège 2–1 Olympic Charleroi | 2.03–1.35 | 53% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Liège |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.