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Most points above xPts: Anderlecht (+16.4 pts), Gent (+8.0 pts), KV Mechelen (+6.1 pts).
Most points below xPts: KVC Westerlo (−11.6 pts), Genk (−10.1 pts), RWDM (−6.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 3 | 40 | 76.4 | 36.7 | 78.2 | 75 | −3.2 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 39 | 71.9 | 36.9 | 75.2 | 81 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Genk | 6 | 41 | 73.1 | 48.2 | 70.1 | 60 | −10.1 |
| 4 | Gent | 4 | 41 | 70.5 | 53.2 | 66.0 | 74 | +8.0 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 2 | 40 | 59.7 | 50.9 | 60.6 | 77 | +16.4 |
| 6 | Antwerp | 8 | 39 | 57.4 | 44.0 | 58.6 | 55 | −3.6 |
| 7 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 40 | 63.2 | 57.0 | 57.4 | 60 | +2.6 |
| 8 | KV Mechelen | 5 | 39 | 58.6 | 53.6 | 54.9 | 61 | +6.1 |
| 9 | St. Truiden | 9 | 40 | 53.3 | 61.3 | 51.6 | 53 | +1.4 |
| 10 | KVC Westerlo | 13 | 39 | 51.5 | 65.3 | 47.6 | 36 | −11.6 |
| 11 | OH Leuven | 11 | 39 | 45.9 | 57.8 | 46.9 | 44 | −2.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liege | 12 | 39 | 41.6 | 57.0 | 45.5 | 39 | −6.5 |
| 13 | Charleroi | 10 | 36 | 41.5 | 49.6 | 45.1 | 45 | −0.1 |
| 14 | RWDM | 16 | 35 | 40.2 | 74.2 | 33.8 | 27 | −6.8 |
| 15 | Kortrijk | 14 | 35 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 33.3 | 31 | −2.3 |
| 16 | AS Eupen | 15 | 36 | 33.7 | 65.8 | 32.4 | 28 | −4.4 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.