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Most points above xPts: Genk (+11.9 pts), Union Saint-Gilloise (+8.3 pts), Anderlecht (+5.9 pts).
Most points below xPts: Cercle Brugge (−11.1 pts), KV Mechelen (−10.8 pts), Beerschot VA (−8.4 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 2 | 40 | 90.9 | 44.3 | 80.7 | 82 | +1.3 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 40 | 72.0 | 40.4 | 74.7 | 83 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Genk | 3 | 40 | 75.2 | 50.2 | 69.1 | 81 | +11.9 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 5 | 41 | 69.1 | 53.8 | 65.7 | 61 | −4.7 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 40 | 68.3 | 57.7 | 60.8 | 50 | −10.8 |
| 6 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 40 | 70.1 | 67.7 | 58.4 | 51 | −7.4 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 4 | 40 | 57.4 | 57.8 | 55.1 | 61 | +5.9 |
| 8 | Cercle Brugge | 14 | 36 | 52.3 | 54.8 | 50.1 | 39 | −11.1 |
| 9 | Antwerp | 6 | 41 | 53.2 | 65.8 | 49.5 | 55 | +5.5 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 13 | 36 | 52.9 | 56.0 | 47.5 | 41 | −6.5 |
| 11 | OH Leuven | 11 | 40 | 46.1 | 60.1 | 47.5 | 45 | −2.5 |
| 12 | Standard Liege | 10 | 40 | 45.5 | 57.5 | 47.0 | 46 | −1.0 |
| 13 | Gent | 9 | 40 | 51.9 | 71.2 | 46.8 | 48 | +1.2 |
| 14 | Dender | 12 | 40 | 47.6 | 69.3 | 43.3 | 45 | +1.7 |
| 15 | Kortrijk | 15 | 36 | 40.2 | 55.5 | 41.5 | 37 | −4.5 |
| 16 | Beerschot VA | 16 | 36 | 40.6 | 71.4 | 32.4 | 24 | −8.4 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.