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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.6 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge 3–0 Kortrijk | 3.49–1.02 | 83% · 10% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Standard Liege 2–2 Cercle Brugge | 2.60–1.47 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Standard Liege had 62% |
| St. Truiden 1–1 Lommel United | 1.98–1.49 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| KVC Westerlo 1–5 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.76–1.79 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen | 1.16–0.34 | 57% · 32% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Charleroi 3–1 OH Leuven | 3.15–1.30 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Zulte Waregem 2–1 Genk | 0.51–0.54 | 26% · 45% · 28% | Close call, Zulte Waregem won |
| Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La Louvière | 3.05–0.74 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Antwerp 2–1 SK Beveren | 2.20–0.96 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.