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6 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 17.0 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangu 1–1 Boavista SC | 1.43–0.96 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Flamengo 7–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ | 5.29–0.28 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Flamengo |
| Portuguesa RJ 1–0 Nova Iguaçu | 1.60–1.49 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Portuguesa RJ |
| Volta Redonda 1–1 Madureira | 1.43–1.38 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vasco da Gama 2–0 Botafogo | 1.83–0.13 | 80% · 18% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Vasco da Gama |
| Fluminense 1–0 CFRJ / Maricá | 1.10–0.04 | 65% · 33% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Fluminense |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.