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Most points above xPts: Madureira (+3.1 pts), Volta Redonda (+2.3 pts), Portuguesa RJ (+1.0 pts).
Most points below xPts: Nova Iguaçu (−3.1 pts), Bangu (−2.8 pts), Sampaio Corrêa RJ (−1.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 1 | 5 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| 2 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 4 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 7.7 | 6 | −1.7 |
| 3 | Nova Iguaçu | 10 | 6 | 6.1 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 4 | −3.1 |
| 4 | Portuguesa RJ | 3 | 5 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| 5 | Bangu | 12 | 5 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4 | −2.8 |
| 6 | Sampaio Corrêa RJ | 8 | 5 | 7.5 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 5 | −1.8 |
| 7 | Flamengo | 4 | 4 | 8.2 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 8 | Boavista SC | 7 | 5 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6 | −0.1 |
| 9 | Volta Redonda | 2 | 4 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 11 | 6 | 3.9 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 4 | −0.9 |
| 11 | CFRJ / Maricá | 9 | 4 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4 | −0.4 |
| 12 | Madureira | 5 | 3 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 7 | +3.1 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.