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| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Retrô | 4 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 4 | −0.3 |
| 2 | Nautico Recife | 2 | 3 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 3 | Decisão | 3 | 3 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 4 | Jaguaré | 5 | 2 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3 | −0.3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 2 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 7 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2 | −1.1 |
| 7 | Maguary PE | 6 | 2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 8 | Petrolina | 9 | 2 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0 | −1.3 |
| 9 | Central SC | 8 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0 | −1.0 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.