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Most points above xPts: Gremio (+18.2 pts), Botafogo (+13.0 pts), Flamengo (+11.3 pts).
Most points below xPts: America Mineiro (−20.0 pts), Coritiba (−10.9 pts), Cruzeiro (−9.4 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 1 | 38 | 57.0 | 38.1 | 64.1 | 70 | +5.9 |
| 2 | RB Bragantino | 6 | 38 | 58.2 | 43.3 | 61.2 | 62 | +0.8 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 38 | 46.6 | 37.2 | 57.4 | 53 | −4.4 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 10 | 38 | 51.4 | 42.6 | 56.6 | 54 | −2.6 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 38 | 47.6 | 40.5 | 56.4 | 47 | −9.4 |
| 6 | Atlético Mineiro | 3 | 38 | 47.0 | 41.9 | 55.8 | 66 | +10.2 |
| 7 | Athletico Paranaense | 7 | 38 | 50.9 | 45.0 | 55.2 | 56 | +0.8 |
| 8 | Flamengo | 4 | 38 | 50.1 | 45.7 | 54.7 | 66 | +11.3 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 8 | 38 | 50.4 | 49.2 | 53.4 | 56 | +2.6 |
| 10 | Vasco da Gama | 15 | 38 | 47.3 | 46.5 | 52.1 | 45 | −7.1 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 5 | 38 | 48.2 | 48.5 | 51.0 | 64 | +13.0 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 12 | 38 | 39.0 | 40.7 | 50.9 | 51 | +0.1 |
| 13 | Bahia | 16 | 38 | 48.9 | 52.0 | 50.5 | 44 | −6.5 |
| 14 | Gremio | 2 | 38 | 49.6 | 55.1 | 49.8 | 68 | +18.2 |
| 15 | Internacional | 9 | 38 | 42.4 | 45.8 | 49.2 | 55 | +5.8 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 13 | 38 | 40.5 | 48.2 | 47.5 | 50 | +2.5 |
| 17 | Santos | 17 | 38 | 42.8 | 49.7 | 46.9 | 43 | −3.9 |
| 18 | Goias | 18 | 38 | 37.4 | 47.2 | 44.8 | 38 | −6.8 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 20 | 38 | 46.1 | 62.3 | 44.0 | 24 | −20.0 |
| 20 | Coritiba | 19 | 38 | 38.3 | 59.9 | 40.9 | 30 | −10.9 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.