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Most points above xPts: Palmeiras (+19.3 pts), Flamengo (+11.7 pts), Cruzeiro (+6.0 pts).
Most points below xPts: Vasco da Gama (−13.1 pts), Chapecoense (−10.7 pts), Corinthians (−9.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 1 | 34 | 59.1 | 31.0 | 64.3 | 76 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Vasco da Gama | 11 | 32 | 50.0 | 31.5 | 54.1 | 41 | −13.1 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 2 | 34 | 47.8 | 33.0 | 53.7 | 73 | +19.3 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 33 | 49.8 | 40.9 | 51.0 | 57 | +6.0 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 33 | 46.0 | 39.3 | 49.8 | 54 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Santos | 8 | 34 | 46.5 | 43.7 | 49.0 | 47 | −2.0 |
| 7 | Bahia | 6 | 33 | 50.5 | 45.8 | 48.5 | 52 | +3.5 |
| 8 | Internacional | 15 | 33 | 46.4 | 41.4 | 47.8 | 38 | −9.8 |
| 9 | Athletico Paranaense | 5 | 32 | 42.6 | 37.2 | 47.1 | 52 | +4.9 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 9 | 31 | 45.3 | 40.9 | 46.0 | 43 | −3.0 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 31 | 41.7 | 35.7 | 45.2 | 40 | −5.2 |
| 12 | Atlético Mineiro | 7 | 33 | 42.1 | 42.5 | 45.1 | 49 | +3.9 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 10 | 34 | 41.3 | 46.1 | 44.5 | 42 | −2.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 18 | 33 | 35.7 | 37.1 | 43.8 | 34 | −9.8 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 13 | 34 | 40.8 | 47.7 | 42.7 | 40 | −2.7 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 16 | 34 | 34.4 | 47.9 | 39.2 | 38 | −1.2 |
| 17 | Gremio | 17 | 34 | 35.7 | 55.1 | 36.2 | 37 | +0.8 |
| 18 | Coritiba | 14 | 31 | 33.2 | 45.4 | 35.5 | 40 | +4.5 |
| 19 | Remo | 19 | 34 | 32.1 | 53.1 | 33.4 | 29 | −4.4 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 20 | 33 | 31.6 | 57.3 | 31.7 | 21 | −10.7 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.