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4 of 10 matches with xG: 8 goals from 10.8 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense 0–1 Guarani Campinas | 1.34–0.44 | 60% · 28% · 12% | Won against the xG: Guarani Campinas |
| Ponte Preta 0–0 Sampaio Correa | 1.60–0.62 | 61% · 25% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Ponte Preta had 61% |
| Mirassol 1–0 Botafogo SP | 1.74–0.64 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Mirassol |
| Sport Recife 3–3 Criciuma | 2.01–2.46 | 32% · 19% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.