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3 of 10 matches with xG: 7 goals from 8.2 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avai 0–0 Chapecoense | 0.35–0.58 | 18% · 48% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| America Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta | 1.72–1.14 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for America Mineiro |
| Vila Nova 3–2 Ceara | 1.87–2.52 | 29% · 19% · 52% | Won against the xG: Vila Nova |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.