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Most points above xPts: Novorizontino (+8.4 pts), Vila Nova (+5.5 pts), Mirassol (+4.7 pts).
Most points below xPts: Guarani Campinas (−7.1 pts), Chapecoense (−5.8 pts), CRB (−5.6 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 16 | 22.1 | 12.0 | 28.3 | 33 | +4.7 |
| 2 | Ceara | 2 | 16 | 24.6 | 17.1 | 27.5 | 27 | −0.5 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 4 | 15 | 21.1 | 14.6 | 24.6 | 24 | −0.6 |
| 4 | Avai | 7 | 14 | 17.1 | 10.7 | 23.4 | 21 | −2.4 |
| 5 | Goias | 9 | 11 | 21.1 | 10.2 | 20.9 | 19 | −1.9 |
| 6 | Botafogo SP | 8 | 17 | 16.7 | 23.4 | 19.7 | 20 | +0.3 |
| 7 | Ponte Preta | 14 | 15 | 19.7 | 21.6 | 19.4 | 14 | −5.4 |
| 8 | Guarani Campinas | 16 | 15 | 16.2 | 17.5 | 19.1 | 12 | −7.1 |
| 9 | Vila Nova | 5 | 16 | 15.6 | 20.8 | 18.5 | 24 | +5.5 |
| 10 | Santos | 6 | 11 | 13.9 | 9.3 | 17.5 | 22 | +4.5 |
| 11 | America Mineiro | 10 | 12 | 14.4 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 19 | +3.4 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 3 | 12 | 11.0 | 12.1 | 15.6 | 24 | +8.4 |
| 13 | Coritiba | 11 | 12 | 13.6 | 16.5 | 15.5 | 18 | +2.5 |
| 14 | Sport Recife | 12 | 12 | 13.0 | 15.4 | 14.4 | 15 | +0.6 |
| 15 | Chapecoense | 18 | 10 | 12.5 | 14.1 | 12.8 | 7 | −5.8 |
| 16 | Operario-PR | 15 | 11 | 9.2 | 12.8 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 17 | Brusque | 13 | 12 | 10.6 | 16.2 | 12.4 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 18 | CRB | 20 | 9 | 6.8 | 8.9 | 10.6 | 5 | −5.6 |
| 19 | Ituano | 17 | 9 | 6.2 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Paysandu | 19 | 9 | 6.9 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 5 | −2.9 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.