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5 of 10 matches with xG: 13 goals from 15.2 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Chapecoense | 2.92–0.51 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Athletico Paranaense had 86% |
| Criciuma 0–0 Volta Redonda | 1.21–1.67 | 28% · 24% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cuiaba 2–3 Operario-PR | 1.36–1.80 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Operario-PR |
| Novorizontino 2–2 Ferroviária | 2.21–0.68 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Novorizontino had 72% |
| Amazonas 1–1 CRB | 1.80–1.07 | 54% · 23% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Amazonas had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.