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Most points above xPts: Remo (+10.0 pts), Chapecoense (+6.4 pts), Criciuma (+5.6 pts).
Most points below xPts: Volta Redonda (−8.4 pts), America Mineiro (−7.5 pts), Cuiaba (−7.5 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico Paranaense | 1 | 19 | 29.9 | 18.9 | 32.9 | 34 | +1.1 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 2 | 18 | 27.2 | 18.9 | 29.5 | 32 | +2.5 |
| 3 | Cuiaba | 14 | 17 | 25.5 | 18.7 | 27.5 | 20 | −7.5 |
| 4 | Athletic Club | 6 | 19 | 22.3 | 20.4 | 26.9 | 25 | −1.9 |
| 5 | CRB | 10 | 18 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 26.8 | 22 | −4.8 |
| 6 | America Mineiro | 16 | 16 | 22.0 | 18.1 | 24.5 | 17 | −7.5 |
| 7 | Paysandu | 12 | 17 | 23.3 | 22.2 | 24.0 | 21 | −3.0 |
| 8 | Avai | 5 | 17 | 22.4 | 22.6 | 23.5 | 25 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Ferroviária | 15 | 18 | 22.7 | 26.5 | 22.9 | 19 | −3.9 |
| 10 | Atletico Goianiense | 3 | 16 | 19.3 | 19.0 | 22.4 | 25 | +2.6 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 17 | 14 | 18.0 | 14.5 | 21.8 | 17 | −4.8 |
| 12 | Goias | 9 | 16 | 18.2 | 19.0 | 20.6 | 23 | +2.4 |
| 13 | Vila Nova | 13 | 15 | 16.8 | 18.2 | 19.9 | 20 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Criciuma | 4 | 16 | 19.4 | 21.9 | 19.4 | 25 | +5.6 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 11 | 12 | 17.0 | 14.2 | 17.7 | 21 | +3.3 |
| 16 | Chapecoense | 8 | 13 | 17.6 | 20.9 | 16.6 | 23 | +6.4 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 20 | 15 | 15.2 | 22.0 | 16.4 | 8 | −8.4 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 19 | 14 | 12.5 | 20.1 | 14.2 | 8 | −6.2 |
| 19 | Remo | 7 | 14 | 11.0 | 19.2 | 14.0 | 24 | +10.0 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 12 | 10.7 | 18.1 | 12.1 | 14 | +1.9 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.