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2 of 10 matches with xG: 9 goals from 6.2 xG (1.45 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense 1–2 Botafogo PB | 2.00–1.56 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Close call, Botafogo PB won |
| Ferroviária 5–1 Volta Redonda | 1.82–0.82 | 61% · 22% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Ferroviária |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.