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Most points above xPts: Remo (+2.7 pts), Ypiranga-RS (+2.3 pts), São Bernardo (+2.2 pts).
Most points below xPts: Tombense (−5.1 pts), Sampaio Correa (−2.7 pts), Ferroviario (−2.3 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ypiranga-RS | 1 | 6 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| 2 | Botafogo PB | 2 | 6 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 3 | Aparecidense | 10 | 5 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 5 | −2.2 |
| 4 | Floresta | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| 5 | Remo | 3 | 4 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Ferroviária | 4 | 4 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 8 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Caxias | 12 | 4 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 4 | −1.8 |
| 8 | Londrina | 8 | 3 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 5 | −0.6 |
| 9 | Nautico Recife | 6 | 4 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| 10 | Tombense | 20 | 4 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 0 | −5.1 |
| 11 | Sampaio Correa | 16 | 4 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2 | −2.7 |
| 12 | Volta Redonda | 9 | 4 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 13 | São Bernardo | 7 | 3 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 11 | 2 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 15 | CSA | 13 | 3 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 16 | Ferroviario | 17 | 3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1 | −2.3 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 15 | 2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2 | −0.7 |
| 18 | ABC | 14 | 2 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2 | −0.2 |
| 19 | Sao Jose | 19 | 2 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0 | −1.3 |
| 20 | Confiança | 18 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0 | −1.0 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.