Canada Canadian Premier League 2025 xG, Matchday 14

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1 of 5 matches with xG: 3 goals from 3.2 xG (0.93 goals per xG).

Win most in line with xG: Forge 2–1 Vancouver FC (xG 2.02–1.20). The winner had 56% on xG.
Most xG: Forge 2–1 Vancouver FC (xG 2.02–1.20). 3.22 xG in all.
Most one-sided: Forge 2–1 Vancouver FC (xG 2.02–1.20). An xG gap of 0.82.
Most goals below xG: Vancouver FC, -0.20 goals below xG.

Match	xG	Chances (home · draw · away)	Result on xG
Forge 2–1 Vancouver FC	2.02–1.20	56% · 21% · 22%	Win in line with xG for Forge

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

every league