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3 of 8 matches with xG: 6 goals from 6.7 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. Catolica 1–2 Nublense | 1.51–1.18 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Won against the xG: Nublense |
| Concepción 1–1 Coquimbo Unido | 0.70–0.30 | 41% · 45% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| O'Higgins 0–1 Palestino | 1.07–1.90 | 21% · 22% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Palestino |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.