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5 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 9.2 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Shijiazhuang Y. J. | 0.89–0.64 | 39% · 36% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hangzhou Greentown 0–1 Shanghai Shenhua | 0.97–2.12 | 16% · 20% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Henan Jianye 0–1 Shandong Luneng | 0.05–1.61 | 1% · 21% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Tianjin Teda 1–1 Nantong Zhiyun | 0.91–0.33 | 49% · 38% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Meizhou Kejia 3–1 Chengdu Better City | 1.09–0.64 | 46% · 32% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Meizhou Kejia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.