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5 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 13.3 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng 2–1 Wuhan Three Towns | 0.96–2.66 | 11% · 15% · 73% | Won against the xG: Shandong Luneng |
| Nantong Zhiyun 0–1 SHANGHAI SIPG | 0.47–2.79 | 4% · 11% · 85% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Beijing Guoan 2–0 Dalian Aerbin | 1.55–0.21 | 72% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Hangzhou Greentown 3–0 Henan Jianye | 2.00–0.43 | 75% · 18% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 1.73–0.50 | 68% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.