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8 of 8 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.4 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng 5–1 Henan Jianye | 1.11–1.34 | 31% · 27% · 42% | Close call, Shandong Luneng won |
| Chengdu Better City 3–0 Meizhou Kejia | 2.01–0.49 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Shanghai Shenhua 1–2 Hangzhou Greentown | 2.65–1.17 | 69% · 16% · 15% | Won against the xG: Hangzhou Greentown |
| Dalian Aerbin 2–3 SHANGHAI SIPG | 2.51–1.75 | 55% · 19% · 27% | Won against the xG: SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Shijiazhuang Y. J. 0–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 1.82–0.82 | 61% · 22% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Shijiazhuang Y. J. had 61% |
| Changchun Yatai 3–4 Wuhan Three Towns | 2.17–2.51 | 35% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Wuhan Three Towns |
| Shenzhen Ruby FC 0–3 Beijing Guoan | 0.49–2.89 | 4% · 10% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Nantong Zhiyun 1–2 Tianjin Teda | 1.89–1.77 | 42% · 22% · 37% | Close call, Tianjin Teda won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.