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5 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 12.6 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Kejia 0–0 Shandong Luneng | 0.64–1.24 | 19% · 30% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Shandong Luneng had 51% |
| Nantong Zhiyun 0–1 Sichuan Jiuniu | 0.62–0.61 | 30% · 41% · 29% | Close call, Sichuan Jiuniu won |
| Tianjin Teda 0–3 SHANGHAI SIPG | 0.67–1.66 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Hangzhou Greentown 3–1 Changchun Yatai | 3.26–1.47 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Henan Jianye 2–1 Beijing Guoan | 1.69–0.75 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Henan Jianye |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.