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6 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 16.6 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns 2–3 Shijiazhuang Y. J. | 2.47–1.14 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Won against the xG: Shijiazhuang Y. J. |
| Changchun Yatai 1–2 Shanghai Shenhua | 0.70–2.18 | 11% · 18% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Henan Jianye 0–2 Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.06–2.08 | 19% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Qingdao Jonoon 0–1 Shandong Luneng | 0.82–1.57 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Beijing Guoan 2–2 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.37–2.47 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Draw against the xG: SHANGHAI SIPG had 62% |
| Nantong Zhiyun 1–0 Meizhou Kejia | 0.56–0.15 | 38% · 53% · 8% | Close call, Nantong Zhiyun won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.