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7 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 27.9 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown 3–2 Tianjin Teda | 2.45–1.21 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Shandong Luneng 4–1 Shijiazhuang Y. J. | 3.99–1.53 | 80% · 10% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Chengdu Better City 3–1 Sichuan Jiuniu | 5.32–0.68 | 97% · 2% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Wuhan Three Towns 0–0 Changchun Yatai | 2.01–0.01 | 86% · 14% · 0% | Draw against the xG: Wuhan Three Towns had 86% |
| Nantong Zhiyun 0–2 Shanghai Shenhua | 0.84–1.56 | 20% · 25% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Henan Jianye 1–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 2.26–1.22 | 61% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Henan Jianye |
| Beijing Guoan 4–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 3.99–0.80 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.