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7 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 24.8 xG (0.64 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City 1–0 Wuhan Three Towns | 2.67–0.86 | 76% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Changchun Yatai | 3.66–0.71 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Yunnan Yukun 0–2 Beijing Guoan | 1.41–0.88 | 49% · 27% · 23% | Won against the xG: Beijing Guoan |
| Qingdao Jonoon 2–2 Qingdao Youth Island | 1.53–1.79 | 33% · 23% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 Dalian Zhixing | 0.91–0.92 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shandong Luneng 0–0 Henan Jianye | 1.47–1.35 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tianjin Teda 2–2 Meizhou Kejia | 5.66–1.00 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Tianjin Teda had 96% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.