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7 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 22.5 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Greentown 2–2 Henan Jianye | 1.49–1.23 | 43% · 25% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Yunnan Yukun 2–0 Meizhou Kejia | 2.03–0.23 | 81% · 16% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Yunnan Yukun |
| Dalian Zhixing 0–3 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.32–3.74 | 9% · 11% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Changchun Yatai 1–2 Tianjin Teda | 0.88–1.54 | 22% · 26% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Tianjin Teda |
| Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Beijing Guoan | 0.64–1.78 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Beijing Guoan had 65% |
| Chengdu Better City 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 2.39–0.67 | 76% · 16% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Chengdu Better City had 76% |
| SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Shandong Luneng | 1.50–3.05 | 16% · 15% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Shandong Luneng had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.