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8 of 8 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three Towns 2–5 Henan Jianye | 2.63–5.22 | 13% · 10% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Henan Jianye |
| Yunnan Yukun 1–1 Dalian Zhixing | 1.94–1.24 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Yunnan Yukun had 54% |
| Changchun Yatai 3–3 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.82–1.10 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Changchun Yatai had 54% |
| Meizhou Kejia 1–2 Qingdao Youth Island | 0.58–1.52 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Qingdao Youth Island |
| Qingdao Jonoon 2–2 Shandong Luneng | 1.72–1.81 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beijing Guoan 2–3 SHANGHAI SIPG | 2.12–2.11 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Close call, SHANGHAI SIPG won |
| Tianjin Teda 1–0 Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.40–0.83 | 50% · 27% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Tianjin Teda |
| Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 Chengdu Better City | 1.13–2.00 | 21% · 21% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Chengdu Better City had 58% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.