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6 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 19.8 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Teda 2–2 Changchun Yatai | 3.13–0.64 | 86% · 10% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Tianjin Teda had 86% |
| Henan Jianye 2–2 Hangzhou Greentown | 2.05–1.08 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Henan Jianye had 60% |
| Shandong Luneng 3–1 SHANGHAI SIPG | 2.52–0.92 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Qingdao Youth Island 2–2 Chengdu Better City | 1.22–1.27 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beijing Guoan 2–4 Qingdao Jonoon | 2.44–2.14 | 46% · 19% · 35% | Close call, Qingdao Jonoon won |
| Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Dalian Zhixing | 1.51–0.90 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Shanghai Shenhua had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.