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8 of 8 matches with xG: 33 goals from 27.6 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island 3–3 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.92–2.32 | 33% · 20% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wuhan Three Towns 0–4 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.31–3.18 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 3–4 Yunnan Yukun | 1.81–2.13 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Yunnan Yukun |
| Dalian Zhixing 2–0 Changchun Yatai | 2.27–0.68 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Dalian Zhixing |
| Tianjin Teda 1–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 1.46–0.48 | 62% · 26% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Tianjin Teda |
| Henan Jianye 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.31–2.33 | 21% · 19% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Meizhou Kejia 3–4 Shandong Luneng | 0.58–2.26 | 8% · 16% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Beijing Guoan 1–1 Chengdu Better City | 1.49–2.11 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Chengdu Better City had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.