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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.4 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan 1–0 Henan Jianye | 1.77–0.35 | 73% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Yunnan Yukun 2–3 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.84–1.04 | 56% · 23% · 21% | Won against the xG: SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Changchun Yatai 1–2 Chengdu Better City | 1.56–3.68 | 12% · 12% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Dalian Zhixing | 0.63–1.42 | 17% · 27% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Dalian Zhixing had 56% |
| Shandong Luneng 0–1 Shanghai Shenhua | 0.69–1.45 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Wuhan Three Towns 2–1 Tianjin Teda | 3.05–0.88 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Wuhan Three Towns |
| Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Meizhou Kejia | 1.62–2.09 | 30% · 21% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 1.07–1.24 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, Hangzhou Greentown won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.