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6 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 20.8 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye 0–1 Tianjin Teda | 0.65–0.43 | 35% · 44% · 21% | Close call, Tianjin Teda won |
| Dalian Zhixing 3–1 Sichuan Jiuniu | 2.36–0.85 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Dalian Zhixing |
| Qingdao Jonoon 0–4 Shenyang Urban | 0.43–2.53 | 4% · 13% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Shenyang Urban |
| Yunnan Yukun 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long | 2.16–1.29 | 57% · 20% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Yunnan Yukun had 57% |
| Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua | 2.22–4.18 | 16% · 12% · 72% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
| Beijing Guoan 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island | 3.06–0.60 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.