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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 22.4 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FC 1–1 Santa Fe | 0.59–0.79 | 25% · 38% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Millonarios 5–1 Deportivo Pereira | 2.02–0.98 | 61% · 21% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Millonarios |
| Once Caldas 3–0 Chico | 2.11–0.35 | 79% · 16% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Once Caldas |
| Alianza Valledupar 0–3 America de Cali | 0.50–2.09 | 8% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for America de Cali |
| Jaguares 0–2 Junior | 1.33–0.82 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Won against the xG: Junior |
| Independiente Medellin 1–2 Bucaramanga | 2.44–0.58 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Won against the xG: Bucaramanga |
| Deportivo Pasto 3–2 Cucuta | 1.53–0.52 | 62% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Pasto |
| Águilas Doradas 0–0 Internacional de Bogota | 0.81–0.53 | 39% · 39% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportes Tolima 1–0 Atletico Nacional | 1.35–0.84 | 49% · 28% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Deportes Tolima |
| Deportivo Cali 1–1 Llaneros | 1.57–0.67 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Deportivo Cali had 59% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.