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5 of 5 matches with xG: 12 goals from 14.2 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 1–0 Rudes | 0.73–0.18 | 46% · 46% · 8% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| Istra 1961 1–0 NK Osijek | 0.34–0.25 | 23% · 60% · 16% | Close call, Istra 1961 won |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–2 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.35–2.35 | 21% · 19% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Dinamo Zagreb had 60% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 4–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.38–0.69 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Gorica 0–2 HNK Rijeka | 2.15–3.77 | 19% · 14% · 68% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.